Testing

Seeing if this is how to add a blog post…

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Mid-Season Evaluation

So back in January, I made some predictions. At mid-year, how am I doing on the ones we can verify?

National Politics

  • Hilary Clinton will be nominated the Democratic candidate for President

Correct, but Bernie gave her a run, much better than I would have expected

  • The Republicans will go into their convention with no candidate having locked up the nomination. Donald Trump will either be kingmaker or run on a third part slate.

I was one of the few that thought Trump would do well. I am saddened that he did so well. My only hope at this point is that his candidacy brings about the complete collapse of the Republican party as we know it for the next 20 years. We need a Grand New Party at this point

  • Hilary will win the election, especially if Trump goes the third party route

Too early to call, but I’m sticking with this projection. 

  • Democrats will not take over the House

Ditto, but I think the Dems will take over the Senate

  • There will be no significant progress on the issue of gun control. The Texas model of open carry is likely to become the Next Big Thing for the NRA and will be successful in more states than Texas. Obama’s actions of today may alter this considerably.

The Orlando massacre will probably have the effect of raising up the racist, homophobic position of Trump and will make it more acceptable among some. Another such attack between now and the election would definitely benefit Trump more. Can you say “internment camp for mid-East Muslims”?

The Republicans will continue to cave to the NRA. There will be no progress until those who are against gun control are voted out of office. The best solution would be a Constitutional Amendment revising/rescinding the 2nd Amendment, but I can’t see it happening

  • The Supreme Court will gut <pick your favorite rational position>

With the passing of Scalia and Republican intransigence on conducting hearings to decide the next, the Court is not it a position to change much of anything. My hope is that Clinton wins, the Dems take the Senate, and that Clinton puts forward a much younger, liberal slate to fashion Court decisions for the next 20 years

Sports

  • Tiger Woods will not win a tournament of any kind and will at the end of 2016 announce his retirement from golf

To early to call, but so far on track, sadly

  • Jordan Spieth and Rory McElroy will win two majors each

Not this year …

  • The Gunners will win the Premier League. Man United will finish in the middle of the pack with a new coach. Chelsea will escape relegation.

Who the hell would have picked Leister City?? The rest of it pretty much on track.

  • UEFA finalists will be Real Madrid and Bayern Muenchen

Too early. 

  • The Arizona Cardinals will beat the Pats in the Super Bowl

Nope. Not even close.

  • In basketball, meh, who cares? But it’s hard to see anybody matching up with Golden State

Still looks good to me, but that’s why they play the game

  • In NASCAR, double meh
  • I don’t follow tennis, so pick ’em, or Venus, Venus, Venus

Pick ’em

Technology

  • The divide between those who have technical understanding and those who don’t will grow ever wider, much to the detriment of those who don’t, which leads to

Hard to measure, but I’m stickin’ with it.

  • The utter lack of rational policy making. The calls to “shut down the Internet to ISIS”, however desirable, demonstrate this in spades.  This will continue to lead to bad policy decisions and threats to privacy will continue unabated. Expect even more compromises to personal data. This will not change until members of Congress themselves are attacked, and even then they will find it easy to do the wrong thing.

At least we now have the ruling on “Internet as a commodity” / Net Neutrality, so that’s something

  • Audio book sales will grow more dramatically than e-books

Dead on target. Listen to anything that Will Patton reads. The Stephen King Mercedes Man series is especially good

  • Amazon won’t have drones delivering goods in 2016 (but no bets on 2017)

So far so good

  • The Monster that is Amazon’s Web business (AWS) will continue to crush the competition, and widen the gap between itself and others even further. This is a huge story that has received very little play. I’d worry more if I weren’t benefiting so much from it.

Ditto

Personal

  • We will close on our new house before the end of April

Correct

  • I will blog more than in 2015 as measured by the number of blog entries

I need to get a move on to make this one come true. So far I’ve been awful

  • 2016 will be a better year altogether than 2015 (now there’s a prediction that’s impossible to measure except if I say so)

Jury is still out.

Posted in Myself, Thinking Too Hard | 1 Comment

Snacks for the Playoff Season — Very Onion D

Now that my two top teams — the Cardinals and Patriots — have made it to the semis, now is the time to think about playoff season party food.

Like Onion Dip. Only not your mother’s onion soup and sour cream dip, but a real one with very intense onion flavor.

So here’s my Very Onion Dip

Ingredients

3 medium onions, 2 unpeeled, one peeled
1/2 c extra virgin olive oil
2 c mayonaisse
1/2 c sour cream
1 T vinegar (white wine preferred)
2 t kosher salt
2 scallions, minced
Ground pepper
Hot pepper sauce

Instructions

  • Preheat oven to 425
  • Rub unpeeled onions with olive oil
  • Roast in oven for about 45 minutes, remove and cool, then peel
  • Diced peeled onion, cook in remaining olive oil until golden brown
  • Drain through a sieve, and spread on a paper towel
  • Cool strained oil
  • Puree peeled baked onions in a blender with vinegar, sour cream, salt, and mayo in a blender. With motor running, drizzle in strained oil.
  • Put in a serving bowl, stir in scallions, pepper and hot sauce
  • Refrigerate for at least 3 hours
  • Scatter the fried onions over the top just before serving

Enjoy with chips, veggies, whatever!

 

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A Modest Proposal on Gun Control

I would offer the following proposal on gun control. My proposal is based on a system/infrastructure we already have in place: the automobile. The principles around managing the automobile are based on five thoughts: 1) licensing; 2) registration; 3) insurance; 4) high-level policies at the national level, local implementation of policy at the state level; 5) national agency to conduct research and further policy. I propose furthering these to the ownership and use of guns

Licensing

Everyone who wants to own a gun is required to have a license. Requirements based on a minimum age, knowledge about and use of guns testing will be established by testing, as will the procedure for acquiring a license. This license will be issued by states. States will have the ability to set requirements above the minimum. A license in one state should not guarantee a license in another (although states might choose to honor the licenses of other like-minded states) Like automobile licenses, gun licenses will need to be renewed annually. When and how will be left to state legislatures.

Registration

Every gun will be registered. Registration fees will be set by states, but should consider factors about the gun (size, automatic, semi-automatic, hand gun, rifle, for example) in determining the registration price. Each gun registration shall be valid for no more than one year. Failure to have a registration for a gun shall result in its immediate confiscation and potential destruction.

Insurance

Every gun will need to be insured. Proof of insurance will be required to register a gun. Insurance will be offered as insurers see fit, but liability insurance will be required. Insurance will also be offered through Federal agencies, akin to flood insurance from FEMA.

National Policies

A national gun policy agency, akin to the Department of Transportation, shall be established to set national policies on gun ownership and on the social impact of gun ownership. Gun technology, recommendations on the future of guns, “smart” guns, and so on would also be under its purview.

Things I Like Most About This

  1. It builds on existing policies and would be a familiar structure to all Americans
  2. It does not restrict the number of guns nor the 2nd Amendment right to possess one, it simply regulates their use
  3. It would create jobs (think of schools for training in gun use/safety as part of the licensing process, the infrastructure required to put this in place, annual fees and such)
  4. As unregistered guns would over time be increasing hard to obtain, it might make the black market price for a gun prohibitively high (black market assault guns in Australia go in excess of $40,000 US)
  5. While it would not keep folks from doing bad things (as they do with uninsured, unregistered automobiles), it would raise the expectation bar, and frame the discussion on gun ownership and use
  6. Arguments against privacy would be reduced because everyone would be required to follow specific rules and no one would be legally exempt from  providing gun information (and why is it that no one objects on the grounds of privacy to automobile VIN’s, regulations, licenses?)
Posted in Gun Control, Thinking Too Hard | Leave a comment

Predictions for 2016

National Politics

  • Hilary Clinton will be nominated the Democratic candidate for President
  • The Republicans will go into their convention with no candidate having locked up the nomination. Donald Trump will either be kingmaker or run on a third part slate.
  • Hilary will win the election, especially if Trump goes the third party route
  • Democrats will not take over the House
  • There will be no significant progress on the issue of gun control. The Texas model of open carry is likely to become the Next Big Thing for the NRA and will be successful in more states than Texas. Obama’s actions of today may alter this considerably.
  • The Supreme Court will gut <pick your favorite rational position>

Sports

  • Tiger Woods will not win a tournament of any kind and will at the end of 2016 announce his retirement from golf
  • Jordan Spieth and Rory McElroy will win two majors each
  • The Gunners will win the Premier League. Man United will finish in the middle of the pack with a new coach. Chelsea will escape relegation.
  • UEFA finalists will be Real Madrid and Bayern Muenchen
  • The Arizona Cardinals will beat the Pats in the Super Bowl
  • In basketball, meh, who cares? But it’s hard to see anybody matching up with Golden State
  • In NASCAR, double meh
  • I don’t follow tennis, so pick ’em, or Venus, Venus, Venus

Technology

  • The divide between those who have technical understanding and those who don’t will grow ever wider, much to the detriment of those who don’t, which leads to
  • The utter lack of rational policy making. The calls to “shut down the Internet to ISIS”, however desirable, demonstrate this in spades.  This will continue to lead to bad policy decisions and threats to privacy will continue unabated. Expect even more compromises to personal data. This will not change until members of Congress themselves are attacked, and even then they will find it easy to do the wrong thing.
  • Audio book sales will grow more dramatically than e-books
  • Amazon won’t have drones delivering goods in 2016 (but no bets on 2017)
  • The Monster that is Amazon’s Web business (AWS) will continue to crush the competition, and widen the gap between itself and others even further. This is a huge story that has received very little play. I’d worry more if I weren’t benefiting so much from it.

Personal

  • We will close on our new house before the end of April
  • I will blog more than in 2015 as measured by the number of blog entries
  • 2016 will be a better year altogether than 2015 (now there’s a prediction that’s impossible to measure except if I say so)
Posted in Thinking Too Hard | Leave a comment

Open Letter on Gun Control

The following letter was sent to the New York Times and Arizona Daily Star in varying forms to suit the paper to which it was sent:

In response to your front-page editorial on gun control, I would like to propose that the Times take a more proactive stance by:

  • Recording on the front page on a daily basis the number killed the previous day by hand guns, including mass shooting (4 or more people killed or injured)
  • Recording on a monthly/quarterly basis the number of killings by state by percentage of gun ownership in that state per 100,000 residents (choose a metric of your choice)
  • Developing for each state a list of candidates that should not be supported (do not vote for) (party irrelevant) because of their position on gun control and publish it for state primaries and the national election

At the end of the day, serious action on gun control will only occur when citizens recognize the extent of the problem, and  candidates recognize that they will not be elected if they do not support some form of action.

Jim Coleman
Tucson, AZ

 

 

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Me and My CBAC

Here he is, my CBAC:

CBAC

What, you say? That’s American Domestic Short-Haired orange tabby, I hear you saying. Well, yes, but he’s also my CBAC (Carbon-Based Alarm Clock), with his timer set to about 4:30 AM.

If allowed in the bedroom, that’s the hour he begins his tango on my head or arms. If not in the bedroom, then the cries and meowing likewise begins and, with intermittent breaks, does not stop completely until we are up. Job done, he then jumps up on the breakfast table, spreads out on the newspaper I’m reading — or on the laptop, depending — and starts his morning nap.

I’m sure he’s thinking, “Hey, I did my job! They are up, I’m fed, and now it’s time to go back to bed”.

I’ve decided that kitties are little fur-covered bureaucrats: things must happen at more or less the same time in more or less the same order. What, you’re up but Mom isn’t?? We have to express our disapproval. You’ve come home and haven’t topped up my bowl? Stink eye to you. You settled down to do some knitting in my favorite chair? Basta to that, take me in your lap and pet me.

So he has me under control, pretty sure. But it’s not a bad life if I stay under his sway.

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Organizational Efficiency and Maturity

I’ve recently been asked to be part of a group looking at optimization, specifically how can the IT parts of the University help both itself and the rest of the University behave more “optimally” / “efficiently”.

We have just begun to meet, but are already struggling, to some degree, to understand what we mean by this. There is a tendency to look at this on the basis of outcomes, e.g., “reduce the number of servers by 300”, or “improve operational time to market”, where presumably the metrics could be gathered to determine success or movement towards the achievement of the goal. Here clarity in defining the purpose, the metric, and the method of measurement are of primary importance.

In the example above, does “server reduction” mean “server consolidation”? Does it mean virtualizing physical servers under a hypervisor? What is the goal intended in the reduction, more virtual, less physical? Fewer database / file servers? Depending on the answer to the “business reason” for achieving the goal, the actual metric for demonstrating success could be quite different.

If one approach is based on desired outcomes, another is looking at improving organizational maturity as a way of bootstrapping the overall effectiveness of the organization.

What do we mean by organizational maturity? For us in the IT space, it speaks to the capabilities of an organization around particular technology and architectural design patterns. While there is no “one best” approach to laying out an infrastructure/architecture, within each area of expertise, one can speak to what comprises a richer/more complex/more adaptable set of capabilities, and set these out as ‘tiers’ in much the same way as the concept of data center capabilities has been formally set forward.

Let me use software application development — one of my niche occupations — as an example (at the risk of being overly technical):

Tier Level Requirements
1 ·         Single non-redundant application server

·         No HA/DR

·         Minimum control over source code

·         Minimal, manual end-user testing

·         Minimal/no automated testing

2 ·         Single non-redundant application server

·         Source code for application under source code control

·         Separate staging environment

·         Manual end-user testing against formally developed test plans

·         White-box testing

·         Minimal automation of promotion of code from stage to production

3 ·         Multiple application servers configured for high availability / load balancing (configuration dependent on application, but could be hard-ware or soft-ware based)

·         Source code for application under source code control

·         Separate testing and staging environments. Staging environment should be code-identical to production except for configuration details

·         Manual end-user testing against formally developed test plans

·         Automated testing for load and other cases as required by the business

·         Black-box and white-box testing

·         Scripted automation of deployment of production code from staging environment

4 ·         As 3, with

·         Staging and production are both code equivalent and data equivalent

·         Scripted build and deployment of production code/data from staging environment

·         Production environment locked down to production deployment team

·         Formal software development life cycle (SDLC) plan

Whether we are able to formally put forward how we think about tiers, the exercise of drawing them up, especially where we then use them as roadmaps for organizational development, may prove particularly useful.

Where will we end up? The process has just begun. We will see how it evolves, and what appetite we have for definition and change. I’ll report back later.

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Lamb Vindaloo

Meat

Pork is traditional (use a loin roast or chops), but lamb or beef work well. Chicken thighs are also possible, but timing would need to be adjusted downward. This recipe calls for lamb.

1 1/2 lb lamb shoulder or leg, cubed in 1/2 to 1 inch cubes

Spice Mixture

3 T coriander seed
1 T cumin seed
2 in cinnamon stick
1 t black peppercorn
1/2 t fenugreek seed
1/2 t black mustard seed
1/4 t clove if desired (I personally don’t use it)
2-4 dried chiles, soaked in water
1/4 c vinegar (cider or red wine preferred)

Onion Mixture

1 large onion, cut into quarters
4 large cloves garlic, peeled
2 inch ginger root piece, peeled
2 c beef stock

4 T oil or ghee

Instructions

  1. Put the spice mixture in a grinder / coffee mill and grind into a fine powder
  2. Add the vinegar to the spice mixture and combine
  3. Put the lamb into the spice mixture and marinate 4 – 12 hours
  4. Put the onions, garlic, and ginger along with 2 T water into a blender and blend until smooth
  5. In a deep skillet, heat the oil until barely smoking
  6. Saute the onion mixture in the oil until lightly colored brown
  7. Add the marinated lamb, and saute until browned
  8. Add the beef stock, bring to a simmer, and cover
  9. Cook covered until done, 1 1/2 to 2 hours
  10. Adjust seasoning if desired and serve over rice/potatoes

The vindaloo is better the next day. Feel free to increase the number of red peppers to bring it up to your level of heat.

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Badge of Honor

I am like Eeeyore,
Mulish, despondent, proud.
My badge of honor.

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